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World Energy Outlook 2025 Regional insights
…renewables in electricity generation. Energy trends in advanced economies are shaped by the structure of their economies, and by high average incomes and rates of vehicle and appliance ownership. Overall energy demand typically has peaked, although electricity use continues to increase, with electric vehicles and data centres adding to demand. Energy demand per capita is generally lower in emerging market and developing economies. Many of these countries are still developing their industries, some suffer from a lack of universal access to energy, and most have lower average incomes and levels of ownership of energy consuming equipment than advanced economies. However…
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World Energy Investment 2025 Source, flows and destination of global energy-related investment spending
Most energy investment is supported by commercial finance and made by private sponsors, but the sources of finance vary widely by technology and region. Today, 75% of the available finance for investment in the energy sector is commercial finance, but domestic and international public finance play important roles that vary widely across regions and sectors.
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Coal 2025 Trade
International coal trade is set to decline in 2025 International coal trade grew by 3% in 2024, reaching a new record of 1 544 Mt. This growth was driven by increases in both thermal coal (up 26 Mt to 1 176 Mt) and met coal (up 21 Mt to 368 Mt). Coal trade accounted for approximately 18% of global coal demand, with thermal coal making up more than three-quarters of total traded volumes. Seaborne trade continued to dominate, representing over 90% of global coal trade in 2024.The Asia Pacific region further strengthened its dominance, accounting for 85% of global coal imports in 2024. China led…
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China’s Official Energy Finance in Emerging and Developing Economies Trends in China’s Outbound Energy Finance
…overseas energy engagement. Policy banks have placed a greater emphasis on project selectivity, risk management and alignment with host-country plans, especially after the COVID pandemic. At the same time, China’s broader official sector has expanded its international role in line with industrial competitiveness, global supply-chain integration and the overseas growth of Chinese developers and equipment suppliers. As a result, outbound finance increasingly flows through a more diverse mix of institutions and instruments, particularly in markets where host-country demand for energy infrastructure remains strong.Even with the decline, China remains one of the largest single-country prov...
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Coal Mid-Year Update 2025 Trade
…Asia. Australia, the world’s largest exporter of metallurgical coal, maintained stable export volumes at 153 Mt. Mongolia, the second-largest exporter, recorded a 5% increase, reaching 56 Mt, with all volumes directed to the Chinese market. The United States and Russia increased exports by 11% each to 52 Mt and to 49 Mt respectively. In contrast, Canada experienced a decline in export volumes during the year. Global coal trade set to reverse course in 2025 Looking ahead to 2025, we expect global coal trade to decline, reversing the upward trend observed in 2024. This shift will be led by China…
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World Energy Outlook 2025 Current Policies Scenario
…Expanding the world we know Total final consumption rises in the Current Policies Scenario (CPS) by around 1.3% each year over the next decade, similar to the average annual increase over the last decade: global industrial output, appliance ownership and demands for mobility all increase, while energy efficiency gains are modest. Demand for oil rises to 113 million barrels per day by 2050, mainly due to its increased use in emerging market and developing economies for road transport, petrochemical feedstocks, and aviation. Electric vehicle (EV) uptake stalls in regions lacking strong policy support: China and Europe are the main exceptions…
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Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2025 Executive summary
…continued to decline, returning to pre-pandemic levels. Lithium prices, which had surged eightfold during 2021-22, fell by over 80% since 2023. Graphite, cobalt and nickel prices also dropped by 10 to 20% in 2024. Despite strong expectations for future demand growth, investment decisions today face significant market and economic uncertainties. Investment momentum in critical mineral development weakened in 2024, with spending rising by just 5%, down from 14% in 2023. Adjusted for cost inflation, real investment growth was just 2%. Exploration activity plateaued in 2024, marking a pause in the upward trend seen since 2020. While exploration spending…
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Coal Mid-Year Update 2025 Demand
…which remained relatively resilient. For the second half of the year, we expect a modest recovery, and therefore anticipate overall coal demand in China to fall by 0.5% in 2025.Similarly, India experienced a 2.1% year-on-year drop in coal demand for power generation in the first half of the year. This was primarily due to an early onset of the monsoon season and a high baseline of consumption in 2024, which was marked by an intense heatwave. On the other hand, the Indian steel sector showed signs of strength, as overall industrial coal demand was e...
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Coal 2025 Investments in coal projects and emissions abatement
…be interpreted with caution.Some trends observed last year have continued. In Russia producers are advancing infrastructure development in the Far East to support specific coal projects. In Africa there is renewed interest in projects in Mozambique. Australia is progressing with met coal developments, while market conditions have driven the sale of several assets to larger mining firms. In the United States the new administration has adopted a more favourable stance towards coal, introducing measures to promote production and demand, which is expanding the project pipeline.Activity in mergers and acquisitions, which was driven by high coal prices between 2022 and…
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Global Energy and Climate Model Current Policies Scenario (CPS)
The 2025 edition of the World Energy Outlook (WEO) reintroduces the Current Policies Scenario (CPS). It was a regular feature of the International Energy Agency suite of scenarios until the WEO-2020, when it was discontinued amid turmoil in energy markets and rapid changes in the policy landscape during the Covid-19 pandemic. Now that the world has passed through the pandemic and the global energy crisis triggered at the outset of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there is merit in revisiting the CPS. The scenario relies only on measures that are formally written into existing legislation and regulation, and…
