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Oil Market Report - June 2026
…mb/d, of which 2.4 mb/d for crude and 1.4 mb/d for products. OECD government inventories fell by 163 mb (-1.8 mb/d) over the same period to their lowest level since December 1990 as the pace of emergency stock releases accelerated.North Sea Dated crude oil prices collapsed by more than $40/bbl to around $82/bbl during May through mid-June, as oil demand faltered and on building speculation that the United States and Iran were getting closer to agreeing the terms of a peace deal. Investor exchange holdings slumped in parallel, as…
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Austria 2026
Energy Policy Review Government action plays a pivotal role in ensuring secure and sustainable energy transitions. Energy policy is critical not just for the energy sector but also for meeting environmental, economic and social goals. Governments need to respond to their country’s specific needs, adapt to regional contexts and help address global challenges. In this context, the International Energy Agency (IEA) conducts Energy Policy Reviews to support governments in developing more impactful energy and climate policies.This Energy Policy Review was prepared in partnership between the Government of Austria and the IEA. It draws on the IEA’s extensive…
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Oil Market Report - March 2026
…Gulf countries have cut total oil production by at least 10 mb/d. In the absence of a rapid resumption of shipping flows, supply losses are set to increase.Global oil supply is projected to plunge by 8 mb/d in March, with curtailments in the Middle East partly offset by higher output from non-OPEC+ producers, Kazakhstan and Russia following disruptions at the start of the year. While the extent of losses will depend on the duration of the conflict and disruptions to flows, we estimate global oil supply to rise by 1.1 mb/d in 2026 on…
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Oil Market Report - October 2025
…ICE Brent futures were trading at around $64/bbl – down approximately $11/bbl year-to-date. Stocking up The oil market has been in surplus since the start of the year, but stock builds have so far been concentrated in crude in China and gas liquids in the United States. By September, however, a surge in Middle East production, coinciding with seasonally lower regional crude demand, boosted exports to two and a half-year highs. This, combined with robust flows from the Americas, swelled oil on water in September by a massive 102 mb, equivalent to 3.4 mb/d…
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Oil Market Report - May 2026
…prices, a weaker economic environment and demand-saving measures will increasingly impact fuel use.Global oil supply declined by a further 1.8 mb/d in April to 95.1 mb/d, taking total losses since February to 12.8 mb/d. Output from Gulf countries affected by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz was 14.4 mb/d below pre-war levels. Higher production and exports from the Atlantic Basin provide some relief. Assuming flows through the Strait gradually resume from June, global oil supply is projected to decline by 3.9 mb/d on average in 2026…
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Oil
Oil
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Oil Market Report - November 2025
… Highlights World oil demand growth rebounded to 920 kb/d in 3Q25, mainly due to stronger deliveries in China. The third-quarter increase was more than double 2Q25’s 430 kb/d y-o-y expansion, as the macroeconomic picture broadly improved on easing trade tensions. Worldwide 2025 gains of 790 kb/d y-o-y are led by the United States, China and Nigeria, up by about 120 kb/d y-o-y each. Global growth will maintain this rate in 2026, at 770 kb/d y-o-y.The relentless upturn in global oil supply paused in October…
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Oil Market Report - July 2025
…Disconnects Benchmark crude oil prices rose by around $7/bbl on average in June, trading in a wide range between $65/bbl and $80/bbl. Israel’s air strikes on Iranian military and nuclear targets sent prices soaring mid-month, with North Sea Dated briefly surpassing $80/bbl before returning to pre-conflict levels after a ceasefire accord was reached. At the time of writing, Dated was trading just above $72/bbl, down $15/bbl on a year ago.Escalating geopolitical tensions were set against a backdrop of an apparently oversupplied market. In June, global oil production rose by 950…
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Oil Market Report - August 2025
…d in 2Q25 occurred entirely in the non-OECD. Consumption in the OECD was flat, with Japan at multi-decade lows.Global oil supply was largely unchanged in July at 105.6 mb/d, with a 230 kb/d fall in OPEC+ output offset by an equal increase in non-OPEC+. Higher OPEC+ targets announced for September help boost global oil supply growth to 2.5 mb/d this year and 1.9 mb/d in 2026, of which non-OPEC+ accounts for 1.3 mb/d and 1 mb/d, respectively.Global crude runs will approach an all-time…
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Oil Market Report - April 2026
…and analysis from the April OMR Highlights Oil demand is expected to contract by 80 kb/d this year, as the Iran war upends our global outlook. This is 730 kb/d less than in last month’s Report and a forecast 1.5 mb/d 2Q26 decline would be the sharpest since Covid-19 slashed fuel consumption. Initially, the deepest cuts in oil use have come in the Middle East and Asia Pacific, mainly for naphtha, LPG and jet fuel. However, demand destruction will spread as scarcity and higher prices persist.Global oil supply plummeted by 10.1 mb…
