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Oil Market Report - February 2026
…Preliminary data show global stocks surged by a further 49 mb in January.Benchmark oil prices increased steadily in January, with North Sea Dated crude rising $10/bbl over the month. Escalating geopolitical tensions, snow storms and extreme temperatures in North America, and Kazakh supply disruptions sparked the reversal to a bullish market. At the time of writing, Dated was trading around $73/bbl, with oil markets on tenterhooks about uncertain developments in the Persian Gulf. Off balance Benchmark crude oil prices surged by $10/bbl over January as a number of supply outages tightened physical crude markets and geopolitical…
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Oil Market Report - December 2025
…for November indicates a further increase of global stocks, largely due to higher non-OECD on-land crude.North Sea Dated crude fell by about $1/bbl on average m-o-m, to $63.63/bbl in November, its fifth consecutive monthly decline and longest losing streak in 11 years. Near-record oil on water, soft crude fundamentals and low volatility pinned prices near four-year lows around $63/bbl despite tightening sanctions and strong diesel cracks. Parallel markets Much has been made about the apparent disconnect between the current global oil surplus on the one hand and inventories near…
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Oil Market Report - September 2025
…as a sharp deterioration in diesel cracks was partly offset by better gasoline economics.Observed global oil stocks rose by 26.5 mb in July, extending gains since start of the year to 187 mb. Inventories remained 67 mb below the five-year average, despite a significant surplus built up in China in recent months. OECD industry stocks were up by 6.9 mb, in line with the seasonal trend. According to preliminary data for August, global oil stocks were largely unchanged as lower oil on water was offset by OECD builds.Benchmark crude oil prices drifted lower in August…
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Oil Market Report - January 2026
…halved from November’s highs.Global observed stocks surged by 75.3 mb in November 2025, or 2.5 mb/d, with crude oil accounting for 96% of the increase, mostly onshore. OECD industry stocks were up by 7.3 mb to 2 838 mb, largely in line with the five-year average level. Total observed oil inventories were 433 mb higher than at the start of 2025, increasing by 1.3 mb/d on average. Preliminary data showed global inventories rose further in December, led by builds in products.Benchmark crude oil prices jumped by about $6/bbl at…
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Oil Market Report - July 2025
…showed global oil stocks rose further, mainly in oil on water and the non-OECD.North Sea Dated crude increased by $7/bbl m-o-m to an average $71.35/bbl in June after trading in a wide $65-$80/bbl range. Israel’s mid-month air strikes on Iranian military and nuclear targets sent prices soaring, with Dated briefly surpassing $80/bbl but easing after a ceasefire was agreed. The decision by OPEC+ to further accelerate the unwinding of production cuts failed to move markets in a meaningful way given tighter fundamentals. Disconnects Benchmark crude oil prices rose…
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Oil 2025
…shifts in energy policies are affecting oil producers and consumers alike, with oil supply security remaining high on the international energy policy agenda.Oil 2025 looks beyond the short-term horizon covered in the IEA’s monthly Oil Market Report (OMR) to provide a comprehensive overview of evolving oil supply, demand, refining and trade dynamics through 2030. This Report presents detailed forecasts and analysis of oil demand fundamentals across fuels, sectors and regions as well as the supply outlook from planned upstream and downstream projects around the world. The results provide valuable insights on the prospects for spare oil production capacity…
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Oil Market Report - November 2025
…October data showed global stocks increased further, led by additional gains in oil on water.North Sea Dated crude fell by around $3/bbl m-o-m to $65/bbl in October. This was the grade’s fourth consecutive monthly decline amid concerns about weak fundamentals and looming oversupply. Dated barely held above $60/bbl mid-month – a four-year low – before rebounding by $5/bbl on the view that Washington’s sanctions against Rosneft and Lukoil may curtail Russian oil flows. At the time of writing, Dated was trading around $62/bbl. Imbalances Global oil market balances are looking…
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Oil Market Report - August 2025
…OECD industry stocks fell by 28.8 mb in June to hover near decade-lows of 2 758 mb, 88 mb below a year ago.Benchmark crude oil prices were largely unchanged in July, with North Sea Dated oscillating around $70/bbl as easing trade tensions and tighter sanctions against Russia were set against the outlook for a comfortably supplied market. By early August, however, prices tumbled by $3/bbl to $67/bbl after OPEC+ announced plans to fully unwind its 2.2 mb/d voluntary output cuts by September. Beneath the calm Oil prices have been caught in the…
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Gas Market Lessons from the 2022-2023 Energy Crisis
The 2022-2023 energy crisis tested the resilience of the global gas and LNG markets with the most severe gas supply shock in history. During the crisis, natural gas-importing markets around the world felt the pressures of record-high gas prices, including the scale-back in access to energy, the impediment to economic activity and the extra burden on government budgets. Market responses varied but governments were quick to react as the challenges of security of supply became apparent. Post-crisis, markets must continue to adapt as the effects of the crisis continue to influence security of gas supply…
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Gas Market Report, Q2-2026
This edition of the IEA's quarterly Gas Market Report provides a comprehensive review of developments during the 2025/26 heating season and a special spotlight on the effects of the war in the Middle East on international gas markets. Amid the major supply shock caused by the disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and attacks on regional energy infrastructure, it examines the conflict’s implications for gas supply and demand at both the regional and global levels. The report also analyses the consequences for storage, shipping and prices – providing critical insights on evolving market trends.The loss of nearly…
