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Article
08 Nov 2019
Nigeria Energy Outlook
…leading to action to increase production and reduce gas flaring. Cumulative energy supply investment of $445 billion is needed in the STEPS, almost 80% of which goes to upstream oil and gas.The AC requires a significant ramp up in power sector investment. Spending on electricity networks and renewables increases by 85% and 165% respectively, compared to STEPS. Nigeria policy opportunities Oil sector reforms would help to revive oil production while successful implementation of the gas masterplan would foster gas-to-power, industrial development and expansion of the gas network to industrial hubs.Improved power sector management and governance w...
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Fuel report
Feb 2018
Oil Market Report - February 2018
…inventories, prices and refining activity, as well as oil trade for IEA and selected non-IEA countries. Highlights Global oil supply in January edged lower to 97.7 mb/d but was 1.5 mb/d above last year as rebounding US production underpinned non-OPEC output growth.OPEC crude oil production in January was steady month-on-month (m-o-m) at 32.16 mb/d. Higher Nigerian output offset losses elsewhere. Compliance with supply cuts reached a new high of 137%.Non-OPEC output dropped by 175 kb/d in January, to 58.6 mb/d, but was 1…
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Fuel report
Dec 2017
Oil Market Report - December 2017
…demand, inventories, prices and refining activity, as well as oil trade for IEA and selected non-IEA countries. Highlights Our forecast for global demand growth remains unchanged at 1.5 mb/d in 2017 (or 1.6%) and 1.3 mb/d in 2018 (or 1.3%). Revisions have been made to data for Nigeria, Germany and Iraq. The baseline for oil demand has been raised by roughly 0.2 mb/d.Global oil supply rose 0.2 mb/d in November to 97.8 mb/d, the highest in a year, on the back of rising US production. Output was nonetheless down 1.1 mb…
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Fuel report
Jun 2019
Oil Market Report - June 2019
…In May, global oil supply eased by 0.1 mb/d to 99.5 mb/d, down 2.8 mb/d from the November peak.The call on OPEC crude drops to 29.3 mb/d in 2020, 650 kb/d below the May output level. OPEC supply fell to its lowest since 2014 as Iranian supply plunged due to sanctions and on lower Saudi and Nigerian output. OPEC's effective spare capacity was 3.2 mb/d.Global refinery throughput in May was at its lowest level in two years on maintenance and unplanned outages. By August, refinery runs could be more than 4 mb/d higher. In…
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Fuel report
Oct 2018
Oil Market Report - October 2018
…respectively, led by the United States.OPEC crude oil production rose by 100 kb/d in September to a one-year high of 32.78 mb/d. Since May, OPEC output has increased by 735 kb/d, led by the main Gulf producers and supported by Nigeria and Libya, offsetting falls in Iran and Venezuela.Refiners are facing increased competition as capacity additions surge between now and end-2019. After increasing by 0.9 mb/d this year, refinery runs will grow by 1.3 mb/d in 2019, while refined product demand growth is only 1 mb/d.OECD commercial stocks rose 15.7 mb in…
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Fuel report
Jun 2018
Oil Market Report - June 2018
…Non-OPEC supply will grow by 2.0 mb/d in 2018, easing slightly to 1.7 mb/d.OPEC crude supply edged up 50 kb/d in May to 31.69 mb/d. Higher flows from Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Algeria offset a fall in Nigeria and further declines in Venezuela. While the call on OPEC is set to ease in 2019, potential losses from Venezuela and Iran could require others to produce more.OECD commercial stocks declined 3.1 mb in April to a new three-year low of 2 809 mb. Middle distillate holdings fell 7.4 mb in April and were significantly below the…
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Fuel report
Nov 2017
Oil Market Report - November 2017
…Non-OPEC supply is expected to rise by 0.7 mb/d in 2017 and 1.4 mb/d next year, led by higher US output.OPEC crude output fell 80 kb/d in October due mainly to lower supply from Algeria, Iraq, and Nigeria. Output of 32.53 mb/d, the lowest since May, was down 830 kb/d from the record rates seen a year ago. The compliance rate with supply cuts in October was 96% and for the year-to-date it was 87%.Hurricane Harvey contributed to OECD industry stocks falling by 40 mb in September to below 3 000 mb for the first time…
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Fuel report
Jun 2017
Oil Market Report - June 2017
…February 2016. Gains were dominated by non-OPEC, particularly the US.OPEC crude output rose by 290 kb/d in May to 32.08 mb/d, the highest level so far this year, after comebacks in Libya and Nigeria, which are exempt from supply cuts. Output from members bound by the production deal edged lower, which kept year-to-date compliance strong at 96%.OECD commercial stocks rose in April by 18.6 mb (620 kb/d) on higher refinery output and imports. They stand 292 mb above the five-year average and are higher than when OPEC decided to cut output. For May, preliminary…
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Fuel report
Apr 2017
Oil Market Report - April 2017
…however, with growth of 485 kb/d expected in 2017, recovering from a decline of 790 kb/d last year.OPEC crude output fell by 365 kb/d in March to 31.68 mb/d, led by losses in Nigeria, Libya - both exempt from supply cuts - and Saudi Arabia. OPEC's 1Q17 output of 31.9 mb/d was 240 kb/d below the 1Q17 "call" on its crude. The call rises to 32.9 mb/d in 2Q17, which implies global stocks will draw further if OPEC maintains solid adherence to its supply cut.OECD industry stocks drew moderately in February and are forecast to fall further in March…
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Fuel report
Feb 2017
Oil Market Report - February 2017
…leading to record initial compliance of 90% with the output agreement. Some producers, including Saudi Arabia, cut supply by more than required. Lower production was partly offset by higher flows from Libya and Nigeria, which are exempt from cuts.After falling by 0.8 mb/d last year, non-OPEC output will grow by 0.4 mb/d in 2017.Growth is mainly in the Americas, where higher prices are fuelling increased investments in US LTO activity and long lead-time projects are coming on stream in Brazil and Canada.OECD total oil stocks fell nearly 800 kb/d in…