Making better use of grids to complement grid expansion

Where grids cannot be built fast enough, the answer lies in delivering more energy, securely, with the existing networks. Existing grids typically contain meaningful untapped capacity, spare capacity that varies by location and time. Not all of it is usable, because it must be weighed against power quality, system flexibility, stability and resilience, but it can be unlocked by improving how the system is planned and operated.

The digital grid toolkit: Digitalisation, grid-enhancing technologies and AI

Three complementary tools can unlock the untapped grid capacity: digitalisation, grid-enhancing technologies (GETs) and artificial intelligence (AI), collectively referred to here as the “digital grid toolkit”. This section introduces what each is and how they relate; Chapter 2 gives a fuller technical treatment of each.

Digitalisation is the foundation. Better sensing, data and connectivity, for example through supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) and advanced metering, allow operators to see their networks far more fully and control assets remotely, enabling them to route flows, manage congestion, and support voltage and stability actively.

GETs build directly on that foundation. GETs are hardware, software or hybrid solutions that cost-effectively raise the capacity, flexibility, stability or resilience of electricity grids by revealing latent headroom and system limits, redirecting flows or making existing assets more controllable. This report focuses on GETs that offer the greatest potential for digitalisation and AI and that are deployed and controlled directly by grid operators, such as dynamic ratings, advanced power-flow control, topology optimisation and fast corrective controls, rather than the wider set of technologies (including advanced conductors, voltage uprating1 and storage) sometimes included under the GET label in the literature.

AI adds a further, cross-cutting layer. It spans a spectrum from rules-based systems through machine learning to generative and, increasingly, agentic AI, capable of planning and acting across several steps with limited prompting. AI has been used by network operators for two decades, but what is different about the current wave of AI solutions is that new AI architectures can process large, diverse data streams, graphics processing units (GPUs) and cloud computing have sharply improved the speed and cost of model training and inference, and utilities now hold more operational, asset, weather, imagery and customer data than in previous technology cycles. AI can therefore support operators managing the growing grid complexity in unprecedented ways.

The relationship between digitalisation, GETs and AI

Grid-enhancing technologies

Dynamic ratings, topology optimisation, advanced power-flow control, real-time remedial actions, controllable grid assets

Digitalisation (monitoring and control)

Sensors/metering, connectivity, analytics, user interfaces, remote controls

Grid infrastructure

Lines, transformers, storage assets

AI applications

Cross-cutting performance enhancement and decision support

Notes: AI = artificial intelligence. Each layer builds on the one below it. AI enhances both digitalisation and digital services.

Functional taxonomy of the digital grid toolkit in scope of the report

Category

Core function

Examples of technologies and applications

1. Monitoring and control systems

Sensing and measurement

Measure conditions across the network

Meters and sensors, PMUs, weather sensors

Communications and data

Move, store and integrate measurements and operational data

Communication network, data platform

Monitoring, analytics and controls
Monitor system conditions, analyse performance and operate assets

SCADA/EMS, WAMS, (A)DMS, DERMS, digital substation, situational awareness platform

2. Grid-enhancing technologies

Dynamic ratings

Set thermal limits from actual operating and ambient conditions rather than fixed assumptions

DLR, DTR

Capacity allocation

Allocate available capacity to network users

SATA, active network management, dynamic operating envelope

Power flow management

Redirect flows from congested to underused paths and control transfer levels

Phase-shifting transformer, advanced power-flow control, topology optimisation, SSSC, TCSC, controllable HVDC

Stability-constrained capacity enhancement Address voltage and stability constraints that limit usable network capacity

Grid-forming inverter capability, SVC,
(e-)STATCOM

Protection and restoration

Act preventively or when faults occur

Real-time remedial action scheme, FLISR

3. AI-enhanced solutions

Forecasting and screening

Anticipate system conditions and assess options faster

AI-based load and renewable forecasting, AI-enabled mapping, connection screening and contingency screening

Asset analytics

Assess asset condition, predict risks and determine when to intervene

Predictive maintenance, inspection analytics, vegetation management, outage prediction and analytics

Operational decision support

Rank and recommend actions to the operator

Topology-optimisation support, remedial-action ranking, AI-assisted corrective control

Network modelling and simulation

Represent and simulate the network for planning and operational analysis

AI-enhanced digital twin, AI-assisted hosting capacity analysis, grid foundation models

Notes: In this report, grid-enhancing technologies (GETs) are defined broadly to cover the technologies listed above. Other literature and jurisdictions sometimes define GETs more widely or narrowly. (A)DMS = (advanced) distribution management system; AI = artificial intelligence; DERMS = distributed energy resource management system; DLR = dynamic line rating; DTR = dynamic transformer rating; EMS = energy management system; (e-)STATCOM = (enhanced) static synchronous compensator; FLISR = fault location, isolation and service restoration; HVDC = high-voltage direct-current; PMU = phasor measurement unit; SCADA = supervisory control and data acquisition; SATA = storage as a transmission asset; SSSC = static synchronous series compensator; SVC = static VAR compensator; TCSC = thyristor-controlled series capacitor; WAMS = wide-area monitoring system.

None of these substitutes for continued grid expansion. Digital, GET and AI-enabled solutions unlock capacity more quickly and, in many cases, at lower cost, but traditional buildout remains indispensable; the two should be used together to prioritise, defer or target new infrastructure where appropriate.

Three layers of grid optimisation

Better use of the existing grid, at both transmission and distribution level, can be understood as three layers, each resting on the layer below, each with a different balance between human judgement and AI, and sharing one goal: enabling higher system utilisation, in a secure way.

Three layers of grid optimisation and the role of AI

Flexibility

Matching load and distributed resources to spare capacity, in time and place

Human
sets rates, products, connection terms, market design

AI
forecasts and co-ordinates resources; sub-second remedial action

Examples
demand response, managed EV charging, storage, energy efficiency, flexible/non-firm connections, siting new load where headroom exists

Report focus
Network assets

Getting more from assets already in service securely (capacity) and minimising their downtime (availability)

Human
validates and supervises

AI
optimises ratings, flows and configuration; predicts failures and guides operators

Examples
Capacity: grid-enhancing technologies, storage as a transmission asset, real-time remedial actions
Availability: predictive/condition-based maintenance, optimised repairs and restoration

Operational security criteria

How risk is assessed and operating margins are set (across thermal, voltage and stability limits)

Human
sets standards and limits; retains authority

AI
monitors and forecasts limits; advises

Examples
Planning methodologies, contingency analysis and reserve setting, real-time monitoring and forecasting of stability Currently dynamic, data-driven limit assessment within existing frameworks In the future alternatives to the deterministic N-1 criterion

Notes: The layers are stacked from the operational security criteria at the bottom to flexibility at the top, each resting on the layer below. The two lower layers are the focus of this report.
Sources: IEA, adapted from: Brattle Group (2026), The Untapped Grid; A. Svendsen and R. Nyiredy (2026), The future power grid.

At the base is the operational security criteria layer, which determines how risk is assessed and operating margins are set. Traditionally, grids have been planned and operated with deterministic security margins: networks were sized to cope with the expected highest demand hour of the year, while also accounting for a defined list of likely outages that could reduce network capacity. A risk-based approach instead asks how often, and by how much, the grid could be pushed further without increasing the chance of a fault, thereby replacing implicit margins with explicit, quantified decision criteria. This is a fundamental change, requiring new planning and operational methods, but it is where the highest long-term returns for utilisation, reliability and resilience are likely to sit. The operational security layer sets a ceiling on what the two layers above it can safely achieve.

The IEA’s Electricity 2026 report found that the largest gains from GETs arise precisely when they are combined with a risk-based approach to grid operation. AI and digital tools can monitor, forecast and advise on limits, but secure operation still rests on validated models, clear rules, operator authority and the ability to act under contingencies.

The network asset layer above draws more from the assets in service, through GETs, including automation and decision-support tools, and keeps assets available through predictive maintenance, early warning of developing faults and faster restoration; here AI helps optimising and predicts, while the operator validates and supervises.

The flexibility layer at the top matches demand-side resources, batteries and EVs, whether behind or in front of the meter, to spare capacity in time and place; co‑ordination can rely on market or price signals, but flexibility can also be delivered without an explicit signal, for example through pre-agreed operating protocols. Here AI forecasts and co‑ordinates, and can act within sub-seconds, while the operator sets rules, products and market design.

Across all three layers, the respective roles of human and AI are expected to evolve, but human oversight remains structural: operators stay accountable for system security even as AI takes on a larger operational role, and sustaining that accountability requires operators to retain sufficient understanding, tools and authority to intervene at any point, a theme this report returns to when discussing trust in AI-based decision-support tools.

Because the layers draw on the same physical headroom, gains overlap rather than add up; as the network asset layer pushes assets harder, the binding constraint can move from thermal capacity to stability, so operational security margins must keep pace. This is why capacity-unlocking measures need to be assessed against the operational security framework that makes them usable, and why regulators and operators need transparent methods for quantifying uncertainty, approving risk-based limits and validating remedial actions before new headroom is reflected in planning, markets or real-time operation.

This report concentrates on the two lower layers: the network itself and how it is operated, since the physics and operating practices involved are broadly common across countries and improvements transfer relatively easily. This is where the IEA's work with energy regulators can most directly help operators use existing capacity better.

While the flexibility layer is an equally important route to higher utilisation, it is more specific to each market's design and involves many actors beyond the network operator; it is therefore the focus of complementary IEA work and is treated here as context.

Moving from long-term planning to real-time operations

The opportunity to make better use of grids arises across all timeframes: long-term planning, operational planning over horizons ranging from several weeks ahead to day-ahead, and real-time operation. Each rests on different assumptions as uncertainties narrow as the system approaches real time, but the same underlying transition applies throughout: from static, worst-case assumptions towards methods that represent a wider set of conditions, including evolving climate conditions, more realistically. The digital grid toolkit can add value at every timeframe, but only delivers that value where it is actually used. A tool proven and used in real-time operations, for instance, but absent from the planning studies conducted months or years ahead, never influences the decisions made on the basis of those studies.

Making better use of the grid across planning and operational timeframes

 

Long-term planning and connection studies

Operational planning (from weeks ahead to day-ahead)

Real-time
operation

Decisions

What to build, defer or connect, and location (investment focus)

Allocating market capacity between nodes or zones, and developing remedial action plans to manage outages (security focus)

Curative actions to keep the system secure as conditions evolve, including automatic responses faster than any operator can act (operational continuity focus)

Uncertainties

Load growth, generation and grid projects materialising or being delayed, policy shifts, technology maturity, demand flexibility and climate conditions

Forecast error on variable demand and supply, and unplanned outages, against largely known generation schedules

Evolving real-time conditions and instantaneous disturbances

How practice is evolving

From deterministic firm-capacity cases sized to annual minima and maxima, towards finer granularity (some operators already run cases on an hour-by-hour basis) and increasingly probabilistic and stochastic methods that represent variable demand and supply, realistic outages, and the remedial actions and technologies available

From preventive margins held in reserve, towards accounting for the large set of remedial actions already standard in many systems (topology, PST and HVDC setpoints, redispatch and countertrading) to minimise congestion management costs rather than holding conservative headroom in reserve

From fixed seasonal or static limits, towards dynamic limits and pre-planned curative sequences, supported by tools that simulate many events and advise the operator on the best response

How the digital grid toolkit helps (digitalisation, GETs and AI)

Rationalise new build: identify faster or cheaper options and defer or avoid reinforcement, on the condition that GETs are represented in planning studies

Increase the transfer capacity made available to the market by default, while also widening the set of low-cost remedial options available should unplanned outages occur; continuously evaluating physical constraints so that assets can safely operate at their true maximum, managing line congestion dynamically

Deliver additional headroom in real time so curative actions are needed less often, and allow system operators to securely operate closer to true network limits when needed and where conditions allow

Notes: GET = grid-enhancing technology; HVDC = high-voltage direct-current; PST = phase-shifting transformer. The digital grid toolkit includes digitalisation, GETs and artificial intelligence.

Proven benefits of the digital grid toolkit

Real-world deployments show measurable benefits across the digital grid toolkit, including higher transfer capacity, lower congestion costs, faster connection studies, improved forecasting and greater reliability.

How the digital grid toolkit delivers system benefits

Benefit category

Technology

Reported outcome

Jurisdiction

Connection studies

Digital twin

70% less time to analyse and decide where to reinforce

United Kingdom

Transfer capacity

Dynamic line rating

EUR 180 000 saved over four hours, with EUR 44 million projected annually

Belgium

Congestion

Dynamic line rating

USD 64 million a year in congestion savings for under USD 1 million invested

United States

Transfer capacity

Advanced power-flow control

More than 2 GW of additional capacity to move power from north to south region

United Kingdom

Congestion

Topology optimisation

USD 113 million in regional congestion cost savings in 2025

United States

Stability

BESS with grid-forming capability

GBP 170 million consumer savings over 15 years and avoided 2.6 million tonnes CO2 through reduced stability, balancing, curtailment and congestion costs.

United Kingdom

Forecasting accuracy and balancing costs

AI-assisted wind forecasting

Forecast error cut from 16.8% to 10.1%, saving USD 49 million over five years

United States

Reliability

AI-assisted vegetation management

30% fewer customers interrupted and 55% fewer outage minutes

United States

Notes: AI = artificial intelligence; BESS = battery energy storage system. Reported outcomes are illustrative examples from specific deployments and depend on local network conditions, the constraint addressed, the baseline, and the extent to which the tool is integrated into planning, operational planning and real-time operations. They should therefore be read as evidence of achievable gains under suitable conditions, not as transferable performance benchmarks.

These examples show that the digital grid toolkit can deliver measurable gains when applied to a clearly identified system need and integrated into routine network processes. The size of the benefit, however, depends on the local constraint being addressed and on whether the technology is treated as part of planning and operations. This is why deployment should start from a system-needs assessment: identifying the system constraints, and then selecting the appropriate combination of digital, operational and physical measures.

References
  1. Voltage uprating is a grid modernisation process that involves increasing the operating voltage levels of existing grid infrastructure to boost its transmission capacity.