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The papers in these workshops represent the personal views of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the views of their companies, organisations or the IEA.

Policies to Shape an Alternative Energy Future
 
Location and date(s) of workshop:
IEA, Paris: 25 May 2005
   
Organiser(s): IEA
   
Contact(s):
   

Background:

The World Energy Outlook 2004 (WEO 2004) presented two very different scenarios of future energy demand, based on different underlying assumptions. These are the “Reference Scenario”, in which no policy changes are assumed, and the “World Alternative Policy Scenario”, in which policy changes that are likely to be implemented in the near future are assumed to be carried forward through 2030. The difference between the two scenarios demonstrates the magnitude of the potential impact of energy policy changes, and illuminates pathways towards greater achievement of a more sustainable energy system.


The World Alternative Policy Scenario presents several remarkable outcomes of the assumed policy changes, including:

  • The substantial impact of energy efficiency policies and renewables in saving energy, and reducing import dependence and CO2 emissions;

  • The complete offset of larger capital needs on the demand side by lower investment needs on the supply side;

  • The importance of developing countries in global energy savings and CO2 emissions reductions.


  • The workshop will further clarify and develop the issue of policy impacts and implications on future energy demand as described in the WEO Alternative Scenario. Building on the assumptions in WEO 2004 and the insights of the presenters, the central objective of the workshop will be to engage energy policy makers in assessing the policy assumptions on which the Alternative Scenario is based and in identifying and recommending the key policies and measures that move us towards better sustainability of the energy sector.


     
    Links to relevant documents:

    Workshop Summary

    List of Participants


     
    Proceedings:

    Welcome Address by Claude Mandil, Executive Director, IEA

    Keynote Speech: “Towards a Sustainable Energy Future”, Rajendra Pachauri, Chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

    “World Energy Outlook 2004 - World Alternative Policy Scenario: Seeds for a Manifesto?”, Fatih Birol, Chief Economist, IEA

    Session 1: Policies to Move towards the Alternative Scenario
    Chair and co-chair: Neil Hirst, Director, Energy Technology Office, IEA and Eva Paaske, Deputy Director-General, Ministry of Petroleum and Energy, Norway

    “The WEO-2004 Alternative Scenario and Demiwedges: Sustaining the Momentum”, Robert Socolow, Co-Director, The Carbon Mitigation Initiative, Princeton University, US

    “An Alternative Energy Future - A Business Perspective”, Bjorn Stigson, President, World Business Council for Sustainable Development

    “Prospects for Energy Efficiency Gains in an Alternative Policy Scenario”, Skip Laitner, Senior Economist for Technology Policy, EPA, US

    “Energy efficiency policies – buildings”, Peter Bach, Senior Adviser, Danish Energy Authority

    “Measures to move towards the Alternative Scenario – and beyond”, Arthouros Zervos, President of the European Renewable Energy Council

    Session 2: Policy Implications
    Chair and co-chair: Noé van Hulst, Director, Long Term Co-operation and Policy Analysis Office, IEA and Lars Guldbrand, Deputy Director, Ministry of Sustainable Development, Sweden

    “Policy action to promote an alternative energy future”, Sergio Garribba, Director-General of Energy and Mineral Resources, Ministry of Productive Activities, Italy

    “Policies to Shape an Alternative Energy Future. The Approach in Germany”, Hartmut Schneider, Deputy Director-General, Federal Ministry of Economics and Labour, Germany

    “Policy Implications from Long Term Energy Outlook - Experience in Japan and Suggestions for WEO-APS”, Koichi Akaishi, Director, Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, Japan

    “Moving to the Alternative Policy Scenario & Beyond”, Carmen Difiglio, Director, Office of Electricity Policy Analysis and Acting Director, Office of Petroleum and Transportation Fuels, US DOE

    “The French energy efficiency and climate change strategy”, Michèle Pappalardo, President, ADEME, France

    “Policies to Shape an Alternative Energy Future”, Richard Marriott, G8 Energy Group Coordinator & Senior Economist, Department of Trade and Industry, UK

    “Policies to Shape an Alternative Energy Future – Canadian Experience”, Nick Marty, Senior Director, Natural Resources Canada


    Discussion, Recommendations and Next Steps
    Chair: Joan MacNaughton, Director-General for Energy, Department of Trade and Industry, UK and Chairman of the IEA Governing Board

    Rapporteur: Morgan Bazilian, Department Head, Sustainable Energy Ireland

    Concluding Remarks by Joan MacNaughton, Director-General for Energy, Department of Trade and Industry, UK