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The papers in these workshops represent the personal views of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the views of their companies, organisations or the IEA.

China-IEA Seminar on Energy Modelling and Statistics
 
Location and date(s) of workshop:
Beijing, China: 20-21October 2003
   
Organiser(s): IEA / Energy Research Institute (China)
   
Contact(s):
   

Background:

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has a close collaboration with relevant Chinese institutions in both energy modelling issues and energy statistics. The 2002 edition of the IEA’s flagship publication, the World Energy Outlook (WEO), featured an in-depth study of China that drew substantially on input from Chinese experts. The IEA World Energy Model (WEM) that is used for the WEO projections includes a model of China developed in collaboration with Chinese counterparts. The forthcoming IEA publication “World Energy Investment Outlook” includes an analysis of investment trends by fuel in the Chinese energy sector. The preparation of this analysis has also been prepared in collaboration with Chinese experts.

 
Links to relevant documents:
Programme

 
Proceedings: Welcome and Introduction
- Opening and Welcoming address by Dadi ZHOU, Director, Professor, Energy Research Institute (ERI)
- Address by the International Energy Agency, Fridtjof UNANDER, Principal Administrator (IEA)
- Address by ETSAP, Phil TSENG, US-DOE, Chair of ETSAP

Session 1: Modelling energy markets and investments

Chair: Yufeng YANG, Energy Research Institute

- World Energy Outlook: The IEA-WEM China model (Hiroyuki KATO, IEA)
- Modelling China's Energy & Environment (Kejun JIANG, Energy Research Institute)
- China's Energy Demand Analysis and Carbon Emission Scenario (Yuan GUO, Energy Research Institute)
- China's Coal Demand and Supply Outlook: An Integrated Analysis from Different Experts (Youguo HE, China Technical Committee of Coal Industry, China Coal security Department)
- China's Electricity Power Investment Outlook and Challenges (Changyu OUYAN, State Grid Corporation of China)
- World Energy Investment Outlook (Hiroyuki KATO, IEA)

Session 2: Observing Energy Markets: Understanding and using Energy Data

Chair: Leo SCHRATTENHOLZER, IIASA

- An Introduction to the China’s Energy Statistics System: Methodology and Problems (Hong ZHU, China Statistic Bureau)
- IEA Statistics for China; Status and Areas for Improvements (Riccardo QUERCIOLI, IEA)
- China's Energy Statistics Comparing with Other Countries in the World (Hongyi HAO, Economics and Technology Research Institute, CNPC)
- Following Energy Use and CO2 Emissions; IEA's decomposition approach (Fridtjof UNANDER, IEA)
- Externalities of Energy Systems for Comprehensive Cost-Benefit Analysis with Focus on China (Stefan HIRSCHBERG and Thomas HECK, PSI)

DAY TWO: TUESDAY 21 OCTOBER

Session 3: Modelling Energy Technologies

Chair: Kejun JIANG, Energy Research Institute

- Options for a Low Carbon Future - an analysis for the United Kingdom (Peter TAYLOR, AEA Technology)
- China's Energy Supply and Cost Analysis: An EFOM-EN Model Application and Uncertainties (Yufeng YANG, Energy Research Institute)
- A sustainable energy strategy for China based on advanced technologies; findings of the Task Force on Energy Strategies and Technologies of the China Council
(Ugo FARINELLI)
- Modelling Energy Technology Perspectives in China and rest of the World (Fridtjof UNANDER and Dolf GIELEN, IEA)
- Technology, Policy Assessment for GHG and SO2 Mitigation (Xiulian HU, Energy Research Institute)
- Exploring the Diffusion of Fuel-Cell Cars in China (Socrates KYPREOS, PSI)

Session 4: Modelling Environmental Impacts

Chair: GianCarlo TOSATO, ETSAP Project Head

- An Introduction to the 3E (Integrated Energy, Environment, and Economy) Model and CO2 emissions (Aling ZHANG, Energy Technology & Economy Institute, Tsinghua University)
- Designing Environmentally Compatible Energy Strategies; Global “3E” Scenarios described by IIASA models (Leo SCHRATTENHOLZER, IIASA)
- China’s Energy Demand and Carbon Emission Scenarios: Meeting China’s Human and Culture Development Potentials (Yufang YAO, China Academy of Social Science)

- The IEA EMB-ETP modeling framework: preliminary results with emphasis on the Chinese industry (Dolf GIELEN, IEA)
- China's Carbon Emission Reduction Scenario and Marginal Cost Analysis: A Markal Application (Wenying CHEN, 3E [Energy, Environment, Economy] Institute, Tsinghua University)
- Modelling Methane Mitigation Options in USEPA National MARKAL Model (Gary Goldstein, IRG)

Summary Discussion and Concluding remarks