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World Energy Outlook 1998 Edition- | |
| 1998 | ||
| Size: 5732 KB | ||
| Table of Contents | ISBN: 92-64-16185-6 | |
| No. of Pages: 475 | ||
| Download the PDF | Type of Document: Study (Book) | |
This outlook, the first since the Kyoto agreement on climate change, is based on a new methodology and a new world energy model. It analyses the major issues and uncertainties of the global energy scene from now till the year 2020. In this period, the Outlook projects world energy demand to grow by 65% and carbon dioxide emissions by 70% - unless governments impose strict policies to restrain them. Fossil Fuels will remain the dominant source of global energy. But the balance among them is projected to change significantly. The market share of gas will increase while that of oil and coal will remain stable. Non-OEPC oil production is expected to peak before 2010. Importing countries will become increasingly dependant on Middle East oil and unconventional sources, such as shale oil and tar sands, will be increasingly tapped. The Outlook examines the emissions-cutting commitments made at Kyoto and points out that they will be impossible to meet if governments continue to treat energy on a "business as usual" basis. Hence, a whole new policy-mix - including regulations, flexible market mechanisms and the encouragement of less polluting sources such as renewable energy and nuclear power - will be required to meet Kyoto targets. Along with its global analysis, the Outlook contains separate, detailed studies of 10 regions. It will be essential reading for energy professionals, policy-makers and concerned citizens everywhere. |
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